The Nonfiction Hit
Much of the above realities hit me full force while reading Publishers Weekly late in the 1970s. The article contained a chart comparing the number of titles published in several categories, along with sales figures. The totals shocked me. By switching to nonfiction, I saw that two factors would give my chances of getting published a huge boost:
(a) Nonfiction accounts for ten times as many titles as fiction. Multiply my pub chances by ten.
(b) The number of unpublished writers trying to break into fiction is at least ten times the number aiming at nonfiction. (This is a conservative estimate. Check it out at any writer’s conference or club meeting. Chances are you won’t find many people working on a nonfiction book.) Multiply my pub chances by ten one more time.
Let’s do the math (really a mind strainer) 10 x 10 = 100. Your chances of getting published are multiplied by at least 100 simply by deciding to switch from fiction to nonfiction.
Scoffers will say, “OK, but my pub chance was zero to begin with, so 100 times zero is still diddly-squat.
It didn’t zero out for me. The more I studied breaking into nonfiction, the harder the reality hit me: I didn’t have enough expertise or credibility in any publishable subject to write a book a trade publisher would take on. So I thought, “OK, I’ll just pick a topic and research and study it until I do have the necessary expertise.”
However, it soon dawned on me that expertise alone wouldn’t necessarily be enough; successful books are written (supposedly) by experts in their niche who also promote the book effectively.
Question: Who cares whether someone else did the actual writing?
Answer: Nobody.
Final Words about Fiction
A few more words and we’ll be done with fiction. Then we’ll get back to how you can race down the rapid road to publication and the financial and emotional satisfactions it brings.
Short stories. The publication of short stores by major magazines has been declining for years and by 2007 had come to almost a complete stop. So had most of what used to be major magazines such as The Saturday Evening Post and Collier’s Weekly. They were laid low by changing tastes and increased competition on every side. Specialty magazines aimed at specific groups of people who shared a certain interest—Surfing, Powder Skiing, Wooden Boat and thousands of others niches—each took a bite out of the general interest, fiction-publishing magazines.
The newer breed of specialty magazines rarely publish fiction; instead they are are filled with nonfiction articles that offer information the editors believe their readers will find interesting.
Novels. You’d think that going to all the trouble of writing a full-length novel would earn you some respect, some consideration. Forget it. Did any agent or publisher ask you to write your novel?
Keep in mind that the publishing industry is a collection of businesses as profit-hungry as giant corporations or the corner Mom and Pop shop are in any industry. It’s all about money; about feeding their bottom line. Nothing wrong with that; I state it not as a criticism but as a hard fact that aspiring writer should have no illusions about. Never forget that publishing, magazines or books, is a business—and a tough one. Publishing companies as well as magazines, particularly start-ups, often close their doors and disappear—frequently owing writers money.
If a publishing company can’t see profit in bringing your book out, they’ll pass on investing in publishing it. They have to invest several thousand dollars—some trade editors claim their cost of putting a book into the marketplace is about $25,000. Since your previous work, if any, hasn’t created an audience for your book, how will they be able to sell enough copies to break even, much less make a profit? You must have a good answer for that question or your book—no matter how well written—won’t get published.